Bangladesh - Political Crisis

Bangladesh - Political Crisis#

For this analysis the dataset utilized is:

Bangladesh Political Crisis Business Activity Trends Dataset

The Political Crisis-triggered Business Activity Trends dataset contains daily data from August 16th, 2024 to August 30th, 2024.

The baseline date for this dataset is July 2nd, 2024 (45 days before the crisis).

Purpose of this Notebook:#

This notebook demonstrates the following analyses:

  • Visualizing Business Activity Data by Vertical for the National Population:
    Examining how different business sectors (verticals) have been impacted during and after the crisis.

  • Analyzing Changes in Business Activity by Region and Vertical:
    Visualizing how trends vary across administrative regions (Admin 2) and specific business sectors.

Data Information Summary#

This dataset provides insights into business activity at the GADM 2 level, covering 64 districts in Bangladesh.

Activity Quantile (activity_quantile):#

The activity quantile metric is used to measure changes in Business Activity.

  • Purpose: Measures changes in business activity relative to a baseline period.

  • Key Values:

    • 0.5: Normal activity (baseline level).

    • Above 0.5: Increased activity.

    • Below 0.5: Decreased activity.

Calculation Overview:#

  1. Compare daily activity of business pages to their baseline activity levels (quantiles).

  2. Aggregate and standardize these values to follow a normal distribution.

  3. Apply a cumulative probability transformation to derive a value between 0 and 1.

  4. Average results over 7 days to reduce daily noise.

  5. Provides equal weight to all businesses, avoiding bias from more active pages.

Visualizing Business Activity Data by Vertical#

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Analyzing Changes in Business Activity by Region and Vertical#

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